region_name='Umbria_pred';

%define time
%time = 0:1:80;

%define initial conditions
N = 882000;         %population Umbria

E00 = (1/N)*10^5;
S0 = 10^5-E00;
x0 = [S0 E00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0];


        
%epidemic start: 21 February
%after 3 days (24 February): PPE
%after 13 days (5 March): school closure
%after 16 days (8 March): social distancing + no events
%after 18 days (10 March): total lockdown
%after 73 days (4 May): first reopenings
%after 87 days (18 May): second lockdown release
%after 118 days (19 June): reopening discos and clubs
%after 176 days (17 August): closing discos and clubs
%after 204 days (14 September): school reopening
Tlock=[3 13 18 73 87 118 176 204];